A COST/RISK ANALYSIS OF FORCE STRUCTURES FOR THE CANADIAN SUPPORT GROUP

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Authors
  1. Taylor, I.W.
Corporate Authors
Operational Research Div, Ottawa ONT (CAN) Directorate of Operational Research (Joint and Land)
Abstract
J4 Logistics was directed by the Vice Chief of Defence Staff to determine the minimum establishment of Regular Force personnel for the Canadian Support Group (CSG). J4 Log tasked the Joint Staff Operational Research Team to conduct a Cost/Risk Analysis during these deliberations. A meeting was conducted on 20-21 October 1998 including J4 Logistics Doctrine and his staff, Commander of the General Support Group and the GS Cadre, and representatives from the Chief of Maritime Staff and 1 Canadian Air Division to analyze five proposed force structures for the CSG. The JSORT Cost/Risk Methodology was applied to the force structure options and the Cost/Risk Tradeoffs were quantified. Using the resulting graphical presentation, senior leadership can determine the Personnel savings that could result if greater levels of Risk were accepted. For example, the results suggest that if senior leadership could accept 20% Risk of Mission Failure in a Mid-Intensity Conflict the establishment could be reduced to 2500.
Keywords
Force development;Strategic planning;Defence analysis;Force planning;Military tasks;Combat Support Group;Force Structure;Cost Risk Analysis
Report Number
ORD-DOR(J&L)-RN-9823 — Research Note
Date of publication
01 Dec 1998
Number of Pages
16
DSTKIM No
99-00267
CANDIS No
510202
Format(s):
Hardcopy;Document Image stored on Optical Disk

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