Assessing the ability to meet preferred manning levels for families of officer occupations


  1. Collin, I.A.
Corporate Authors
Operational Research Div, Ottawa ONT (CAN)
In compliance with Defence Planning Guidance 2000 Change Objective 6.1, "Recruitment and Retention", the Director Military Employment Policy (DMEP) requested that the Director Strategic Human Resources Coordination undertake an analysis of forecast attrition as a function of years of service (YOS). DMEP requested that military occupations be grouped into families or "nests" for the purpose of this analysis. A previous paper examined the characteristics of non-commissioned member occupations as grouped into nests. This paper assess the ability of all the Officer occupational nests to attain and maintain Preferred Manning Level (PML), subject to the constraints of school capacity. Forecast voluntary attrition is studied using career flow modelling methodology. An example, the Logistics occupational nest, is examined in detail and contrasted with the Land - Combat Arms occupational nest. It is found that without some school capacity increases, some occupations will have to face manning shortages for years to come. Increases in recruitment could dramatically reduce the time expected to elapse prior to attaining PML. Voluntary attrition is broadly distributed across many YOS and forms the greater part of total attrition. Reducing voluntary attrition could eliminate the need for school capacity increases.
Military occupations;Military personnel policy;Preferred Manning Level (PML)
Report Number
ORD-PR-2001-04 — Project Report
Date of publication
01 Mar 2001
Number of Pages
Hardcopy;Document Image stored on Optical Disk

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