THE EVOLUTION OF NATO WITH FOUR PLAUSIBLE THREAT SCENARIOS

Authors
  1. Smith, J.E.
  2. Canby, S.L.
Corporate Authors
Operational Research and Analysis Establishment, Ottawa ONT (CAN) Directorate of Mathematics and Statistics
Abstract
NATO is not sui generis. Its roots trace to an informal Western alliance that dates from the early 1900's. The geographic, political, economic, cultural, and ethnic ties that bind the countries of the northern Atlantic are ineluctable. Accordingly, the Alliance is unlikely to disappear or disintegrate. Part I of this study analyses the historic antecedents of NATO. Part II postulates four possible military threats that confront the alliance in Europe today: a surprise attack; a pre-emptive non-surprise attack; a full-mobilization offensive; and a limited attack against an isolated NATO component.
Report Number
ORAE-EXTRA-MURAL-PAPER-43 — Extra-Mural Paper
Date of publication
15 Aug 1987
Number of Pages
116
DSTKIM No
87-04361
CANDIS No
53134
Format(s):
Hardcopy;Originator's fiche received by DSIS

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