A View on Threat Analysis Concepts, Models and Estimation Techniques

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Authors
  1. Roy, J.
Corporate Authors
Defence R&D Canada - Valcartier, Valcartier QUE (CAN)
Abstract
This position paper summarizes a recent attempt by the author to synthesize what recognized experts in the information fusion and related domains have previously said about threat analysis, while at the same time injecting the point of view of the author. Aspects of modeling the behaviour of humans considered as limited, rational purposeful agents are first presented. Then, the notions of impact and threat as << things >> resulting from actions or, more precisely, from the state changes caused by actions are discussed. The important concept of a concern reference point is introduced and described The three essential and interdependent parts of a threat, i.e., intent, capability and opportunity are briefly presented. Finally, a definition of threat analysis is proposed, and some techniques that have been used for threat and intent estimation and prediction, for behaviour analysis, and for plan analysis and recognition are listed.
Report Number
DRDC-VALCARTIER-SL-2009-384 — Scientific Literature
Date of publication
06 Jul 2009
Number of Pages
3
DSTKIM No
CA033342
CANDIS No
532650
Format(s):
Document Image stored on Optical Disk

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