Navy Force Protection/Projection Performance Prediction thru M&S and Experimentation – Document


  1. Jeffrey, A.
  2. Lauzon, M.
  3. Fortier, C.
  4. Dumas, S.
Corporate Authors
Defence R&D Canada - Valcartier, Valcartier QUE (CAN)
An integrated capability is required for the evaluation of Canadian Forces hard-kill weapon effectiveness in current and future mission scenarios against current and evolving threats. To this end, DRDC Valcartier has formulated a conceptual framework for hard-kill effectiveness assessment called HKEP (Hard-Kill Effectiveness Prediction). HKEP being a conceptual framework, its application (adaptation of conceptual framework to desired end-state hard-kill analysis capability and software implementation) produces a hard-kill effectiveness assessment capability. Specific applications allow for the computation of effectiveness against any physical threat, including land, sea and air entities. One test case application that we have conducted consists of integrating DRDC Valcartier hard-kill munition fly out models (guided and unguided), the vulnerability / lethality code SLAMS (Survivability Lethality Assessment Modeling Software), target-specific vulnerability models in a COTS (Commercial-off- the-shelf) simulation environment. This integration permits an end-to-end analysis and a realistic prediction of weapon effectiveness in terms of threat probability of kill. The architecture has been employed to support an in-land attack capability analysis as part of a Canadian Joint Fires support initiative (land, sea and air) in the littoral environment (probability of target kill and probability of collateral damage/fratricide to assist the decision maker as part of an optimized Joint Fi
Report Number
DRDC-VALCARTIER-SL-2010-187 — Scientific Literature
Date of publication
01 Jun 2010
Number of Pages
Electronic Document(PDF)

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