Indicators of State Failure – Phase III

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Authors
  1. Miller, J.
Corporate Authors
Defence R&D Canada - Toronto, Toronto ONT (CAN);CAE Professional Services, Ottawa (ON)
Abstract
This brief report documents the collection of supplemental data to augment the second phase of a research effort to develop an early warning model for monitoring state instability and predicting pending failure. This complemented and extended earlier efforts to develop a conceptual model and to characterize triggers, the final events recorded between non-violence and violence (relative stability and instability). Given the experimental nature of the research, more data are required to provide a greater breadth of analysis. A more diverse data set, in term of regional representation, the magnitude of violence, the magnitude of instability, would provide a more nuanced result. This document summarizes the supplementary data collection to support this effort.

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Keywords
Intra-state conflict;Country instability;Political violence;Early warning;Crisis forecast;Government (foreign);Political instability;Crisis;Failed state;Early Warning Model;EWM;Country Indicator for Foreign Policy;CIFP
Report Number
DRDC-TORONTO-CR-2010-190 — Contractor Report
Date of publication
01 Aug 2010
Number of Pages
21
DSTKIM No
CA035095
CANDIS No
534853
Format(s):
Electronic Document(PDF)

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