Modelling Voluntary Attrition of Civilian Personnel in the Department of National Defence

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Authors
  1. Penney, C.
Corporate Authors
Defence R&D Canada - Centre for Operational Research and Analysis, Ottawa ON (CAN)
Abstract
Making use of a detailed panel dataset, this paper undertakes an econometric analysis of the factors affecting the attrition decision for members of the public service working with the Department of National Defence. Using Random Effects methods, several consistent factors were associated with an individual’s likelihood of attrition. Factors that decreased this probability included the number of Pensionable Years of Service, a Change of Command, and residing in the provinces of Quebec, Newfoundland or Saskatchewan. Factors that were associated with an increase in the likelihood of attrition included speaking French as a first language, belonging to the Purchasing and Supply and Engineering Support groups, and residing in the province of Alberta; most interestingly, higher salaries were associated with greater likelihood of attrition, a finding that has not been consistently shown in prior research.

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Report Number
DRDC-CORA-CR-2013-063 — Contractor Report
Date of publication
01 Apr 2013
Number of Pages
48
DSTKIM No
CA037926
CANDIS No
537813
Format(s):
Electronic Document(PDF)

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