Analysis of Marine Traffic – Phase 3 – Predictive Accident Risk Models for Marine Traffic

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Authors
  1. Rezaee, S.
  2. Pelot, R.
Corporate Authors
Defence Research and Development Canada, Centre for Operational Research and Analysis, Ottawa ON (CAN);Dalhousie Univ, Halifax NS (CAN) MARIN Risk Lab
Abstract
This document describes the results of Phase 3 of the Analysis of Marine Traffic (AMT) Project, conducted under contract W7714-093795. The purpose of this phase is to provide a review of geostatistical methods and make recommendations about which methods are more useful to determine the correlations between marine traffic densities (fishing and shipping) and safety incidents as well as predicting the likelihood of incidents occurring relative to traffic levels. The advantages and disadvantages of introduced methods are described and the recommended methods were applied to test cases for the purpose of comparison.

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Keywords
Maritime traffic;risk;traffic density;safety incidents;geostatistical methods
Report Number
DRDC-RDDC-2014-C232 — Contract Report
Date of publication
31 Mar 2014
Number of Pages
64
DSTKIM No
CA039780
CANDIS No
800743
Format(s):
Electronic Document(PDF)

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