Replication of human operators’ situation assessment and decision making for simulated area reconnaissance in wargames

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Authors
  1. Guo, R.J.
  2. Sprague, K.
Corporate Authors
Defence Research and Development Canada, Centre for Operational Research and Analysis, Ottawa ON (CAN);CAE Inc, Ottawa Ont (CAN)
Abstract
This paper describes a replication model of human operators’ situation assessment and decision making in a simulated area reconnaissance wargame. A variety of factors that affect human operators’ threat assessment and decision making were identified and categorized based on interviews with Subject Matter Experts and a review of defense doctrine on area reconnaissance. By combining these factors with the capabilities of existing synthetic environments, a schema consisting of a set of Bayesian networks and associated joint probability distributions for human operators’ situation assessment and decision making was developed. To verify and validate the proposed schema, a software system was designed and implemented, and then used for analyzing the consistency between the replicator’s decisions and human players’ decisions. Results showed that the proposed approach replicated human operators’ situation assessment and movement-based decision making in the wargame with high consistency.
Keywords
situation assessment;decision making;area reconnaissance;wargames;Bayesian networks;threat assessment
Report Number
DRDC-RDDC-2016-P036 — External Literature
Date of publication
06 May 2016
Number of Pages
13
DSTKIM No
CA042487
CANDIS No
803676
Format(s):
Electronic Document(PDF)

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