Analysis support guide for risk-based strategic planning


  1. Wesolkowski, S.
  2. Maltby, J.
  3. Donohue, J.
  4. Birkemo, G.A.
  5. Van Zeebroeck, F.
  6. Skorupka, D.
Corporate Authors
Defence Research and Development Canada, Centre for Operational Research and Analysis, Ottawa ON (CAN)
Every strategic (long term) plan is saturated with risk, defined as the effect of uncertainty on objectives. How can we, as defence analysts, improve current analytical support to planning processes to help create flexible and adaptable plans so that our forces prevail in future conflicts? We propose integrating risk management practices within strategic defence planning for NATO and member nations, providing a framework for how risk management (as defined in ISO 31000:2009) can be systematically integrated into defence planning processes. The framework provides a methodology that applies risk management to the analytical support of strategic planning. We illustrate the framework’s use with an example using the United Kingdom’s National Risk Assessment. A second report describes various other examples of how risk could be managed including risk management in the NATO Defence Planning Process. Systematically and explicitly integrating risk management within the strategic planning processes should increase robustness to risks, producing more readily adaptable plans. The framework is intended for defence analysts involved in strategic defence planning at NATO and in NATO nations. We hope that this framework will facilitate the systematic integration of risk management practices throughout strategic planning, improving both the processes themselves and the resulting plans.
risk;strategic planning;defence planning;risk-based planning;framework;case studies
Report Number
DRDC-RDDC-2018-N067 — External Literature
Date of publication
01 Jun 2018
Number of Pages
Electronic Document(PDF)

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