THE FAILURE OF SALT: EXPLANATIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

Authors
  1. Ranger, R.
Corporate Authors
Operational Research and Analysis Establishment, Ottawa ONT (CAN) Directorate of Mathematics and Statistics
Abstract
The paper argues that SALT has been a failure because the initial assumptions of "liberal" arms controllers about the capacity of SALT to produce a mutually acceptable condition of nuclear stability have not been borne out by events. The major cause for this condition, the paper argues, has been Soviet determination to ignore the legitimate security interests of both the US and the European members of NATO by continuing to develop and deploy more sophisticated and effective nuclear weapons. SALT II, it is suggested, will not be successful because of growing American and West European perceptions that the strategic balance is shifting in favour of the USSR. Consequently, SALT is likely to become another ineffective arms control forum.
Report Number
EXTRA-MURAL-PAPER-7 — Paper presented to the 50th Annual General Meeting of the Canadian Political Science Association University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario
Date of publication
15 Dec 1978
Number of Pages
39
DSTKIM No
79-00546
CANDIS No
84905
Format(s):
Hardcopy;Originator's fiche received by DSIS

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